Thirty Nine

It is conventional wisdom that a team needs forty points in a season to guarantee survival in the Premier League. Since the League was reduced to twenty teams, no club has been relegated with forty points.

After last weekend’s win over Wolves, Norwich have thirty-nine points; one short of that magic total. Last year two teams were relegated with thirty-nine points. Thus one more draw would remove any lingering fear of relegation. One more draw from the last eight games. That seems more than achievable, but the first of those games, away to Fulham on Saturday, brings back dark memories.

The last time that Norwich were in the Premier League, they were relegated immediately. They went into the final game of that season knowing that a win would keep them up. That last game was away at Fulham. With four wins in the previous six games, victory and survival seemed possible. It was a dreadful day, as not only did Norwich fail to win, but they were drubbed six-nil.

I cannot imagine the same fate overtaking Norwich this time; only once have they lost heavily in the League this year: 5-1 away to Manchester City. Should they lose to Fulham, they still have seven more games to add enough points to ensure safety. Granted Arsenal, Spurs, Liverpool, and Manchester City make up three of the final opponents. This time round, the Fulham game is not make or break, but there would be a delight in making safety at the place where Sven seasons ago dreams were so brutally shattered by six Fulham goals.

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Published in: on 30 March, 2012 at 6:03  Leave a Comment  

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